Change at the top

So, Spain emerged triumphant at the World Cup, as we predicted (more or less), though their victory over reigning champions Argentina was one of the less thrilling games of the tournament. The winning goal was pretty impressive though.

There’s a new top dog here in the UK too. It’s still not entirely clear how Andy Burnham plans to steer the nation back towards the sunlit uplands, but he is making some vaguely promising noises, so I guess we should give him the benefit of the doubt, for a while at least…

Only halfway through the summer

Having patted myself on the back for the success of my bold prediction that three of the best teams on the planet would do quite well in the World Cup, I guess I should acknowledge that another of my sporting forecasts – that San Francisco would win the World Series – is looking rather less accurate.

I’ll admit that my confidence in the Giants’ shot at glory was based more on sentiment than cold calculation, but I was expecting that the All-Star break would see them still in contention for the playoffs, rather than sitting with the fifth-worst record in the big leagues.

Fortunately, baseball has the attractive feature of lots of games in a season, so even a terrible team will win once or twice most weeks, and there are certain to be some highlights for fans to cheer, like rounding off an unlikely late-inning comeback with a walk-off grand slam.

So I’ll keep on tuning in late at night, in the hope that the Giants will rally for a thrilling run to the postseason, or, failing that, at least beat the Dodgers a few more times…

World Cup 2026 prediction update

So we’re at the semifinal stage, and 3 out of my 4 picks are still standing, which is actually the best possible outcome for my forecast, since I had misread the bracket and missed that France and Germany couldn’t both make it this far.

The surprise package are England, but I can’t see them getting past Argentina. France versus Spain looks likely to be close, but I’ll stick with my prediction that the French will make the final, and lift the trophy.

July 4th 2026

I have vague memories of the events marking the bicentennial of the American Revolution back in 1976. I was quite young, so the only clear image that I recall is a photo of an aircraft carrier with sailors lined up on the deck in the shape of “1776-1976”, but I also remember that, in the wake of disappointments like Watergate, the fall of Saigon, and the Ford administration generally, the prevailing mood was rather downbeat.

Fast-forward 46 years, and I found myself sitting on a beach in California, pleasantly baked, watching the fireworks and feeling that the US, after a few rough years, was back on a broadly progressive course. No doubt my optimistic outlook was influenced by the summer warmth and the agreeable company, but it’s still disheartening that just four years later it looks like everything is going to hell again.

My American friends are actually considerably more relaxed about the situation than I am, reassuring me that good sense will reassert itself in November, and I guess they have the advantage of being in the country, rather than residing an ocean away, so perhaps I should just chill out, and start planning another trip to see them for the 251st.

World Cup 2026 prediction

I’ve been out of the country for the last few weeks; not so remote that I was completely unaware of developments at home, alas, but sufficiently distant that the news I did catch didn’t impinge on my sense of wellbeing too much.

I’m not sure how long I’ll be able to maintain that contented detachment now that I’ve returned, but I’ve been trying to ease myself back into the alarming reality of contemporary life by contemplating the possible outcomes of the World Cup.

Of course I can’t be bothered doing the research into the recent form of the 48 teams in the tournament that would be required for any sort of informed forecast for the 72 group stage games, and I don’t really understand how the seeding works for the knockout rounds, so I have no clue when the favourites are likely to meet up.

Nevertheless I’ll confidently go for a last four of France, Spain, Germany and Argentina, and France to win.

For the birds

Today is World Migratory Bird Day, which seems like a good time to check in on how my feather-based sports betting strategy is working out.

I had more or less written off New Orleans and Atlanta in the NBA, and sure enough the Pelicans missed the playoffs, while the Hawks fell in the first round.

I had higher hopes for Anaheim and Pittsburg in the NHL, which has turned out to be about half-right; the Ducks are still in the postseason mix, though they’ll have to pick up a bit to make it to the Conference Final.

It’s still early season in the MLB, so I guess I should reserve judgement, but it’s not looking good, with the Orioles and the Blue Jays struggling, and only the Cardinals over .500.

So overall fairly disappointing. Maybe it only works for the NFL

Selenian dreams

As things down here on earth go from bad to worse, we can, thankfully, look to the heavens, or at least Florida, where NASA’s Artemis II rocket is finally ready to blast off and carry humans back to the Moon for the first time in more than half a century.

We’ve written before about my generation’s disappointment that the promise of the Space Age never really came to fruition, so it’s heartening to think that I might yet live long enough to see our species take a few more steps towards exploring the galaxy.

Early geese

So, how did the San Francisco Giants, my pick for the 2026 World Series, fare in their opening home stand? Swept 3-0 by the Yankees you say? Out-scored 13-1? Failed to register a run in the opening two games of a season for the first time in franchise history? Hmm…

Still plenty of games to go I guess…

Saved by the ballgame

I was beginning to worry that, with the Oscars past, I was going to have to start watching the news again, but luckily baseball season starts later this week, just in time to provide another welcome distraction.

In the opening game my adopted team San Francisco take on the New York Yankees, so there might be some early indication of whether their 2026 campaign will be more inspiring than last year’s ultimately disappointing mediocrity. Before my pre-season optimism is inevitably deflated I’ll hazard another sporting prediction; Giants for the World Series.

Oscar predictions 2026 revisited

So, four out of seven of my Oscar tips turned out to be on the money, which I think isn’t too shabby. Of the three I missed, two involved films that I haven’t seen yet, and the other was the wrong actor in the correct movie (and I’d argue that it was the Academy voters who erred; Sean Penn may have had a bigger role, but Benicio del Toro gave the story its moral compass).